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    ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Sun Nov 3 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical
    Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean near the
    Azores Islands.

    1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea (AL97):
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
    a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.
    Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical
    depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while
    moving generally northward to northwestward over the central and
    western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy
    rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the
    western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba.
    Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress
    of this system as tropical storm watches or warnings could be
    required later today or tonight for portions of the area. An Air
    Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this
    system later today.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    2. Near the Greater Antilles:
    A trough of low pressure a couple hundred miles east of the
    southeastern Bahamas continues to produce disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms along with gusty winds over the adjacent waters of the
    southwestern Atlantic. Slow development of this system is possible
    during the day or so while it moves westward toward the southeastern
    Bahamas and eastern Cuba. This system is expected to be absorbed
    into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea (AL97) by late
    Monday, ending its chances of development. Regardless of formation,
    locally heavy rains are possible during the next couple of days
    across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola,
    eastern Cuba, and the southeastern Bahamas.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.


    Forecaster Cangialosi

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