Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Tue Nov 19 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure centered a little more than 200 miles east-northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands continue to show signs of organization.
Although the surface circulation of the disturbance appears to be
gradually consolidating, recent satellite-derived wind data indicate
that it does not yet have a well-defined center. Additional
development is expected and a tropical or subtropical depression is
likely to form while the system moves northwestward and then
northward over the open Atlantic during the next day or two. The low
is forecast to interact with a frontal system by midweek and further
development is unlikely after that time. For more information, see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php